How many times have you bet on a college football game and didn’t buy the .5 points to get the spread from +2.5 to +3 or from -3.5 to -3 and lost that game on a last minute field goal instead of getting the push?
Or how about the other key number in college football games – the lucky number 7 that many games end on?
The question is should you buy points to get onto or off of a key number in the point spreads?
There may be some instances where it makes sense to buy that half point to get to a key number 3 or 7. If the recent game history shows a trend of your teams covering against the spread with a key rival, then you may want to buy the half point.
But when you get to the higher point spreads like -14.5 or -20.5 or even -41.5, it may not make as much sense to buy the .5 points.
When betting on sports like college football, you are supposed to think of the long term value of the bets you make. You are sacrificing a lot of value in the long run if you consistently buy those half points. You are giving up that 3-6% return when you buy a half point to get the cover on the underdog.
So the short answer of to buy points on college football game point spreads is usually no. In the long run it is not a good value bet. In the short run, it depends.